Singular spectrum analysis and forecast of financial condition of credit institutions in Caterpillar-SSA approach

Seminars

Laboratory of Information Technologies

Seminar of the scientific department of computational physics

Date and Time: Wednesday, 4 December 2024, at 3:00 PM

Venue: room 310, Meshcheryakov Laboratory of Information Technologies

Seminar topic: “Singular spectrum analysis and forecast of financial condition of credit institutions in the Caterpillar-SSA approach”

Speaker: Galina Prikazchikova (NRNU MEPhI)

Authors: Victor Ivanov, Elena Akishina, Galina Prikazchikova

Abstract:

The singular spectrum analysis method is successfully used in the processing and forecasting time series tasks. In this article, this method was applied in the «Caterpillar»-SSA approach to assess the financial condition of two credit institutions as objects of Russia economic security: JSC «CCB» (deprived of its license by the decision of the Bank of Russia) and the reliable «TBank». For this purpose, the time series values of key performance indicators of the specified credit institutions were analysed and forecasted, namely: «Profit», «Accounts in the Bank of Russia», «Securities».